PREDICTED

The business of prediction markets.

See What's Coming.

Weekly Newsletters on the Business of Prediction Markets.
Quarterly reports
State of Prediction Markets, Q1 2026 report cover: an illustrated hand holding a crystal ball with a rising market chart

The quarter prediction markets went mainstream.

Read the Q1 report

Recent issues.

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05 JUL 2026Meta Want Prediction Markets. Why?Zuckerberg ordered a prediction market app. For Meta? It is a good engagement toy and a bad business.05 JUL 2026Polymarket Gets Probed, Kalshi's $40bn Raise, and Zuck Wants PMThe regulators and the courts come for Polymarket. ARK Invest start using Kalshi as a signal. And Meta may be building their own PM.05 JUL 2026Robinhood Enters the ChatThe tech giant's prediction market product is picking up momentum... with a 20x increase in contracts traded in June. And it's all thanks to the World Cup.

About.

Predicted is a newsletter and quarterly report covering the business of prediction markets. Edited by Pet Berisha and researched by Omar El Safy.