PREDICTED

The business of prediction markets.

See What's Coming.

Weekly Newsletters on the Business of Prediction Markets.
Quarterly reports
State of Prediction Markets, Q1 2026 report cover: an illustrated hand holding a crystal ball with a rising market chart

The quarter prediction markets went mainstream.

Read the Q1 report

Recent issues.

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02 JUL 2026Meta Want Prediction Markets. Why?Zuckerberg ordered a prediction market app. For Meta? It is a good engagement toy and a bad business.29 JUN 2026Polymarket Gets Probed, Kalshi's $40bn Raise, and Zuck Wants PM News Roundup: The regulators and the courts come for Polymarket. Kalshi are in talks to raise at a $40bn valuation. And Meta may be building their own PM. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.25 JUN 2026Robinhood Enters the ChatThe tech giant's prediction market product is picking up momentum... with a 20x increase in contracts traded in June. And it's all thanks to the World Cup.

About.

Predicted is a newsletter and quarterly report covering the business of prediction markets. Edited by Pet Berisha and researched by Omar El Safy.