PREDICTED

The business of prediction markets.

Quarterly reports
State of Prediction Markets, Q2 2026 report cover: illustrated hands reaching up towards a glowing orb

The quarter prediction markets traded $111 billion.

Read the Q2 report →

Recent issues.

VIEW ARCHIVE →
The 2026 Midterms Were the Biggest Political Event in US Prediction-Market History05 NOV 2026The 2026 Midterms Were the Biggest Political Event in US Prediction-Market HistoryMeasured by open interest, the 2026 midterms held more money on US venues than any election before, as political money moved onshore from Polymarket InternationalKalshi Raise $1 Billion at a $40 Billion Valuation02 NOV 2026Kalshi Raise $1 Billion at a $40 Billion ValuationThe CFTC sue Utah, Polymarket price a Democratic Senate, Millennium build tools on prediction market prices, and Coinbase and Robinhood both cash in. Plus, everything else in prediction markets this week.Why Did S&P Dow Jones Indices Sign With Kalshi?29 OCT 2026Why Did S&P Dow Jones Indices Sign With Kalshi?Kalshi's prices could become S&P's next index

See What's Coming.

Weekly Newsletters on the Business of Prediction Markets.

About.

Predicted is a newsletter and quarterly report covering the business of prediction markets. Edited by Pet Berisha and researched by Omar El Safy.

Work with Predicted.

Sponsorship, partnerships and everything else. We read every submission.